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Some opinions on positions of Turkey and Russia following Sochi accord

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An agreement was reached between President Erdogan and Russian President Putin after a six-hour meeting in Sochi on 22nd October, 2019. According to the agreement the YPG (an extension of terror organization PKK, in Syria) will withdraw from the 30-kilometer zone along the Syrian border. Turkey and Russia will begin joint patrols at a depth of 10 kilometers.

Following the agreement opinion leaders in international politics have made various comments on the issue.

Some experts note Russia wants to guide Turkey’s President into direct contact with Syria i.e. with Bashar Assad adding the current agreement may not be sufficient for Erdogan.

If Turkey’s President continues to reject Assad, Turkey may have to face further isolation in the region. Putin wants to stop this by directing Turkey into a dialogue with Assad and finally realize Russia’s goal for the post-war order in Syria. Iran seems to be supporting this approach and both countries seem to be trying to take advantage of Adana agreement signed in 1998, to make it happen.

Russians, aware that the current agreement may not be sufficient for Erdogan, have already stated that it would be possible to amend the Adana Agreement. It is obvious that, this is not a high price to pay for the Russians in return for the direct contact between Assad and Erdogan. However, Russians also believe it is essential to put an end to armed opposition Turkey has been conducting against Assad. But everybody knows there is still a long way to go, until that point.

The bottom line is, the region is open to many new developments in the coming days and especially after the provisions accepted in the agreement are put into practice in the region. However, we need to see that Russia has accomplished another very important stage in concerned conflict and proved that this country is without dispute the leading power in the region.

As for Turkey, the administration has no doubt many issues to attend to and not only those concerning the conflict in Syria but also domestic ones such as economy and politics etc.

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